OCTOBER 21, 2014 BY TIM REYESThings have improved... it used to be 30 years away... and then they changed it to 15, and then it went down to 10 ... now it's being rumored it's only 5! ... which realistically means it'll probably take another 30 years or so...
Five years since 2014? ... have some tolerance man!... the article should've stated "5 years ... give or take 15 years"OCTOBER 21, 2014 BY TIM REYES
https://www.universetoday.com/11541...away-now-just-5-according-to-lockheed-martin/
Mr. Fusion? Compact Fusion Reactor Will be Available in 5 Years Says Lockheed-Martin
China's "artificial sun" nuclear fusion reactor, called the HL-2M Tokamak, was powered up for the first time, state media reported Friday. The development could possibly revolutionize how we produce and consume energy.
One of those overused, meaningless phrases that is arguably always true.China Finally Turns On Artificial Sun Nuclear Reactor
https://interestingengineering.com/china-finally-turns-on-artificial-sun-nuclear-reactor
Mainly Hype but they are working on one of the hardest problems for ITER, long term superconducting confinement. Even conventional confinement and control of low(er) power plasma is tricky.China Finally Turns On Artificial Sun Nuclear Reactor
https://interestingengineering.com/china-finally-turns-on-artificial-sun-nuclear-reactor
One step closer to Terrestrial Fusion...only eighty eight million to go.
Last month, the Korea Superconducting Tokamak Advanced Research (KSTAR) device, a nuclear fusion reactor known as an "artificial sun", broke the world record by maintaining a plasma for an incredible 20 seconds at an ion temperature of over 100 million degrees Celsius
In the next few months, this device will achieve 100-million-degree plasma temperature, far beyond anything achieved by other private fusion ventures, and the temperature required for commercial fusion energy.
All they need is more funding and another 40 years.
I believe LPPFusion has them beat:
I believe this is the link you intended to post...
It's not naysaying. We've had a good handle on the science of thermonuclear fusion since the first H-bomb and Russian “magnetic containment devices” from the 50's. Plasma temperature is only one key to a total engineering solution to controlled fusion. We will eventually define the engineering standards needed to build a operational machine from the science but knowing how to make a great wheel doesn't mean you can build a working EV in the next ten years.I believe LPPFusion has them beat:
"In a breakthrough in the effort to achieve controlled fusion energy, a research team at Lawrenceville Plasma Physics, Inc. (LPP) in Middlesex, NJ, announced that they have demonstrated the confinement of ions with energies in excess of 100 keV (the equivalent of a temperature of over 1 billion degrees C) in a dense plasma."
But I'm sure the naysayers on this thread will have something negative to say about that.
I agree... but ignorance works both ways. We don't know what challenges lie ahead of this technology, but we also don't know if we're near a watershed breakthrough momentEven as scientists take steps toward their holy grail, it becomes ever more clear that we don’t even yet know what we don’t know.
IMO watershed breakthrough moments happen in movies and very seldom in actual research or engineering. Slow incremental improvements in actual engineering are what drive technology even if the science says it's possible. This is the historic trend with controlling fundamental forces of nature like electromagnetism and nuclear interactions. I would be extremely happy to be surprised with fusion but as usual, I suspect we will get controlled fusion when we really need it.I agree... but ignorance works both ways. We don't know what challenges lie ahead of this technology, but we also don't know if we're near a watershed breakthrough moment
Yes, it's true. But what I meant to say is that, comparing this sort of thing to digging a deep well to find water, sometimes one breaks through suddenly and unexpectedly... the work to get to that point, however, is almost always long, hard and monotonous.Slow incremental improvements in actual engineering are what drive technology even if the science says it's possible.
Still just a step my friend.Yes, it's true. But what I meant to say is that, comparing this sort of thing to digging a deep well to find water, sometimes one breaks through suddenly and unexpectedly... the work to get to that point, however, is almost always long, hard and monotonous.
I happen to think LPP is going to win. But it's interesting that the link is ten years old. Are they ten years closer today than they were then?I believe LPPFusion has them beat:
"In a breakthrough in the effort to achieve controlled fusion energy, a research team at Lawrenceville Plasma Physics, Inc. (LPP) in Middlesex, NJ, announced that they have demonstrated the confinement of ions with energies in excess of 100 keV (the equivalent of a temperature of over 1 billion degrees C) in a dense plasma."
But I'm sure the naysayers on this thread will have something negative to say about that.
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