hanging like that also will sterilize in the hot sun.
Several reasons:This just makes no sense at all!
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Edit: Unless all the old folk have already died...
That sucks, lets just dose the population right? to see what happens or worse yet someone gets the kits and contaminates them act of terrorism.(4) The reliability of test kits in general is questionable, considering how many have been found to be contaminated with Covid in the past. (Sent out to 400+ facilities!)
Without a better plan, this threshold—the percentage of people who have been infected that would constitute herd immunity—seems to have become central to our fates.
Some mathematicians believe that it’s much lower than initially imagined. At least, it could be, if we choose the right future.
Gabriela Gomes studies chaos. Specifically, patterns in nonlinear dynamics. She was drawn to the field by something called frailty variation—why the same diseases manifest so differently from one person to the next. She uses mathematics to deconstruct the chains of events that can lead two people with the same disease to have wildly different outcomes.
So with all its apparently chaotic eccentricities, the coronavirus was an ideal challenge for Gomes, a professor at the University of Strathclyde, in Glasgow, Scotland. For the past few months, she has been collaborating with an international group of mathematicians to run models that incorporate the many variations in how this virus seems to be affecting people. Her goal has been to move as far away from simple averages as possible, and to incorporate as many of the disparate effects of the virus as possible when making new forecasts.
“We just keep running the models, and it keeps coming back at less than 20 percent,” Gomes said. “It’s very striking.”
If that proves correct, it would be life-altering news. It wouldn’t mean that the virus is gone. But by Gomes’s estimates, if roughly one out of every five people in a given population is immune to the virus, that seems to be enough to slow its spread to a level where each infectious person is infecting an average of less than one other person. The number of infections would steadily decline. That’s the classic definition of herd immunity. It would mean, for instance, that at 25 percent antibody prevalence, New York City could continue its careful reopening without fear of another major surge in cases.
It doesn’t make intuitive sense, Gomes admits, but “the homogenous models just don’t make curves that match the current data,” she said. Dynamic systems develop in complex and unpredictable ways, and she believes that the best we can do is continually update models based on what is happening in the real world. She can’t say why the threshold in her models is consistently at or below 20 percent, but it is. “If heterogeneity isn’t the cause,” she said, “then I’d like for someone to explain what is.”
Oh sorry to hear about the turtles, geeze things go wrong sometimes.My nearest neighbor is 1/2 mile away.
I continued with my plans. The original builder of the property was quite a partier (i.e., young). There was a sand lot volley ball court in a South field (1993). Over the years, it had fallen into disuse, particularly mine. A few weeks ago, I dug it up. (The ground had been leveled, compacted, covered with plastic sheeting, and had at least 6" of sand over it. The saddest part was when I dug into a turtle's nest. Nothing I could do at that point to save them.) Project for the day was to level the field and prepare for grass -- if we ever get into a rain cycle. Very dry and hot June and July so far. Got done about noon:
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I did take a bath before fixing lunch.
Don't be silly. If that were the case, surely it would have been mentioned at the conference.That sucks, lets just dose the population right? to see what happens or worse yet someone gets the kits and contaminates them act of terrorism.
Until recently they did not test very many people, and for months the only ones that were tested had obvious symptoms. Now that the virus is on decline (in places) and tests are readily available they are testing vigorously and finding the patients without severe symptoms who would not have been detected before the increase in testing. All you see in the Main Street Media is the new cases "Look! See how many more cases they have over there now... They opened up too soon!"This just makes no sense at all!
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Edit: Unless all the old folk have already died...
The mask police gonna get you! You gonna make Governor Mike cry!Or, from a simpler perspective, how can your barber give you a nice single-blade razor trim over your ears if you are wearing a mask FULL time?
My barber is in his late 80's. His hands shake. Been going to him for years. We decided since no enforcement "strike" teams seemed to be in the area, we would take the risk of removing the mask.![]()
You hold the mask on your mouth and nose with one hand. Then, remove one side of the ear strings. Once that side of your head has been cut, swap sides.Or, from a simpler perspective, how can your barber give you a nice single-blade razor trim over your ears if you are wearing a mask FULL time?
My barber is in his late 80's. His hands shake. Been going to him for years. We decided since no enforcement "strike" teams seemed to be in the area, we would take the risk of removing the mask.![]()