Speaking of fear, this is scary:

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/13/spacex-spcx-stock-ipo-price.html

SpaceX stock sinks for a second-straight day, nearing $135 IPO price

What's scary about it? I think that's not at all unusual for IPOs. They frequently get an initial surge and then settle down somewhere in the vicinity of their initial offering price, sometimes higher, sometimes lower. It's known as the IPO Pop.

 

What's scary about it? I think that's not at all unusual for IPOs. They frequently get an initial surge and then settle down somewhere in the vicinity of their initial offering price, sometimes higher, sometimes lower. It's known as the IPO Pop.

Apple, Microsoft, Intel, Google, Nvidia did not behave as SpaceX has after one month.

 

I'm under the impression that you would really really like to see it fail ...

 

Apple, Microsoft, Intel, Google, Nvidia did not behave as SpaceX has after one month.

So? Thousands of others have, including Facebook (Meta), which had an IPO price of $38, when up to $42, then was down to $20 within about three months. Telsa hovered around it's IPO price after an initial rise for years and only took off after a decade of public trading. Many other big names had very lackluster performance after an initial bounce. The performance of a stock in the first month has virtually no long-term predictive value.

 

Yet here you (and others) are insinuating that these volatile stocks will inevitably rise in the longer term, that's a long term prediction.

Where have I insinuated that a volatile stock will inevitably rise in the longer term?????

No stock will inevitably rise in the long term. There are NO guarantees that ANY company will be around five or ten years from now.

But even if I were to, somehow, make that claim, it would NOT be based on the performance of the stock in the first month after its IPO. It would be based on the underlying fundamentals of the specific company, the industry it is operating in, and where that industry is headed. But even then, there is no guarantee that even the leaders in a rapidly evolving industry will be the ones to survive.

If a stock is highly volatile, without any thing explaining it, such as a pending FDA approval, or an uncertain regulatory landscape, or supply chain uncertainties, then that is often (but not always) a poor harbinger for it's long-term prospects.

 

Where have I insinuated that a volatile stock will inevitably rise in the longer term?????

No stock will inevitably rise in the long term. There are NO guarantees that ANY company will be around five or ten years from now.

But even if I were to, somehow, make that claim, it would NOT be based on the performance of the stock in the first month after its IPO. It would be based on the underlying fundamentals of the specific company, the industry it is operating in, and where that industry is headed. But even then, there is no guarantee that even the leaders in a rapidly evolving industry will be the ones to survive.

If a stock is highly volatile, without any thing explaining it, such as a pending FDA approval, or an uncertain regulatory landscape, or supply chain uncertainties, then that is often (but not always) a poor harbinger for it's long-term prospects.

You replied to deleted post, deleted many hours ago if I recall.

 

You replied to deleted post, deleted many hours ago if I recall.

It appears to be an extreme case of cross posting. I replied last night, but it appears AAC didn't act on it until a while ago. Probably got hung up in the home network somehow.