This isn't a "sky is falling" or a "going to hell in a handbasket" thread, it's a literal question. What is the world coming to? Can the future even be predicted with any reasonable accuracy anymore? I was just listening to an interview with Jamie Metzl, author of Hacking Darwin (haven't read it) and he was talking about the exponential rate of technological advancement and how we typically only think of that in terms of cell phones and servers, but it applies to many fields across the board. A quite important and often overlooked field, them implications of advancements in genetic modification (of humans) could radically affect the difference between what we expect and what the future holds. Something that he said made me envision a future for my daughters in which when they become of child-bearing age, they will have intense societal pressure to give birth to GMO babies. The same kind of pressure that currently exists for me, to have my kids vaccinated. The overwhelming implication that it would be incredibly irresponsible not to.
These genetic alterations could/would result in children with higher IQ, higher disease resistance, better athletic performance, longer life expectancy, and so on. And the butterfly effects resultant... Over a few generations of this, super humans. Whatever country perfects this first, likely becomes the new global super power. China is already doing it, and their government, unbridled by checks and balances, is free to roll this out virtually overnight as law, and then what? Our freedoms in the USA preclude a tit-for-tat response like the space race or the nuclear arms race.
I'm not making a judgement either way about vaccinations or GMO babies, that's not what this is about. It's about a not-so-distant future that's no-so-unlikely, and radically different than I imagined. This is just one example; how many other areas of human existence am I not considering? Who could know all the things at play and stitch all their exponential trajectories together into point of convergence that represents an (even murky) vision of the future? This isn't like predicting the future in the early 1940's, when it pretty much only hinged on the outcome of the war. This seems, from my limited perspective, to be a headlong sprint into the abyss of the unknown. I hope it leads to only good things, but I know too much about human nature to place any bets on it. I hope my GMO grandkids as well as their GMO counterparts on the other side of the world are programmed for boundless altruism. I think that's the best I can hope for.
These genetic alterations could/would result in children with higher IQ, higher disease resistance, better athletic performance, longer life expectancy, and so on. And the butterfly effects resultant... Over a few generations of this, super humans. Whatever country perfects this first, likely becomes the new global super power. China is already doing it, and their government, unbridled by checks and balances, is free to roll this out virtually overnight as law, and then what? Our freedoms in the USA preclude a tit-for-tat response like the space race or the nuclear arms race.
I'm not making a judgement either way about vaccinations or GMO babies, that's not what this is about. It's about a not-so-distant future that's no-so-unlikely, and radically different than I imagined. This is just one example; how many other areas of human existence am I not considering? Who could know all the things at play and stitch all their exponential trajectories together into point of convergence that represents an (even murky) vision of the future? This isn't like predicting the future in the early 1940's, when it pretty much only hinged on the outcome of the war. This seems, from my limited perspective, to be a headlong sprint into the abyss of the unknown. I hope it leads to only good things, but I know too much about human nature to place any bets on it. I hope my GMO grandkids as well as their GMO counterparts on the other side of the world are programmed for boundless altruism. I think that's the best I can hope for.