To my eye, there's not really all that much "turn to the north" yet. I know that's what all the models predict, but what if it gets well west first into the gulf - will it really need to hug the western shoreline?

Time will tell.
Local radar is not the best way to image possible movements of at sea weather.

There are several GOES algorithms for processing raw sensor data. We used the old GOES-C down-link at sea with a primitive fax system to generate IR and other synthetic pictures from the stream.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/enhancements.html

Today you can make your own GOES receiver using a SDR dongle, LNB and dish.
https://www.rtl-sdr.com/tag/goes/

 

Not to rub it in, but all's nice and well at the mountains of Monterrey:

​

 

I had a business that was waist high in water,2 weeks to drain off.

Any one having real contact with flooding.

 

I had a business
that was waist high in water
2 weeks to drain off

Why do you write in Haiku?

 

Standing by with 3 Ryobi rechargeable batteries and portable am,/fm radio.

Power generator ready to go.....

 

I see IRMA is still close to CUBA ... she must be shopping. a 57 Chevy ... some rum ... some cigars for JoeyD ... a few sharks for the aquarium ....

Everyone be safe.

 

The 57 Chevy is headed to Florida. The 'door' is open.

 

Power just went out on front street.

 

The 57 Chevy is headed to Florida. The 'door' is open.

I agree it looks bad for the keys but I’m not convinced it’s northbound.

 

Thursday - it will hit Fort Lauderdale
Friday - it will hit Miami
Saturday - it will hit Fort Meyers
Saturday night - it will hit Florida Keys and then Sarasota
Sunday - it will hit ...?

I'm still saying Mobile, Alabama is possible. Maybe the central part of the FL panhandle.

 

I agree it looks bad for the keys but I’m not convinced it’s northbound.

Time will tell.

There is a door between two high level fronts (a weak one in the west) that leads North to Florida. Irma is flowing in the pull of a low-pressure trough valley between two mountains. The eastern front is the one that pushed her down to Cuba.
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ram.../20170908000000/video/20170908000000_irma.gif

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate....1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

 

Did somebody do a song about, "Waiting is the hardest part"?
(Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers, 1981)

All boarded up and waiting...
It's pleasant outside right now with a heat index of 75F. That's very comfortable to Floridians. I hope it stays that way after the storm because I'm sure I won't have electricity.
Why am I up at 7 AM? Because climbing ladders and putting up plywood makes you sore if you're 66 years old.
I've been up all night because owies.
That's OK. I'll have a few days with nothing to do, starting right now.
I hope I have nothing to do!
I hope the neighbor's boat doesn't come to my house.
I hope my shingles don't leave.
I hope a tree doesn't fall on my house.

Worry while I wait.

 

Did somebody do a song about, "Waiting is the hardest part"?
(Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers, 1981)

All boarded up and waiting...
It's pleasant outside right now with a heat index of 75F. That's very comfortable to Floridians. I hope it stays that way after the storm because I'm sure I won't have electricity.
Why am I up at 7 AM? Because climbing ladders and putting up plywood makes you sore if you're 66 years old.
I've been up all night because owies.
That's OK. I'll have a few days with nothing to do, starting right now.
I hope I have nothing to do!
I hope the neighbor's boat doesn't come to my house.
I hope my shingles don't leave.
I hope a tree doesn't fall on my house.

Worry while I wait.

@#12 We all worry for you
How close are you to the shore?
How far away are you from an evacuation center? Is that an option?

 

Did somebody do a song about, "Waiting is the hardest part"?
(Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers, 1981)

All boarded up and waiting...
It's pleasant outside right now with a heat index of 75F. That's very comfortable to Floridians. I hope it stays that way after the storm because I'm sure I won't have electricity.
Why am I up at 7 AM? Because climbing ladders and putting up plywood makes you sore if you're 66 years old.
I've been up all night because owies.
That's OK. I'll have a few days with nothing to do, starting right now.
I hope I have nothing to do!
I hope the neighbor's boat doesn't come to my house.
I hope my shingles don't leave.
I hope a tree doesn't fall on my house.

Worry while I wait.

Then it's time to start a project, finish a project, read a book, or paint taunting phrases about Irma on the plywood covering your windows.

 

Hurricane warning for Pinellas County.

https://www.google.org/publicalerts/alert?aid=5b41f8c6686aa2a2&hl=en-US&gl=CA&source=maps-sp

 

My altitude seems sufficient, even though a bayou is only a mile away. I'm quite a bit uphill in only a mile.
An evacuation center will accomplish what?
When most or all of the county is without electricity, they won't have air conditioning either. Only medical places have their own generators, not schools used for emergency shelters. I couldn't even be sure of electricity if I ran to the east coast.

I don't expect my house to leave. It's concrete block. The wind speeds are close to my building limits for the roof.
I'm hoping for some luck!
If all else fails, I can go to the family farm in Kentucky. I hear the local I.Q. average has increased a lot in the last 50 years.
It's just that I don't like small town life. I'm a city boy. Trying to live in a county with only one automatic traffic signal or a town with only one pizza shop is my idea of a nightmare.

Kentucky has its own kind of beauty, but it's not my style.

I think I'll go shove all my scrap metal into the shed and consider re-reading all 7 Harry Potter books.

 

Still have power here -- though the lights flickered a few times.

Winds really kicking up.

 

No, it will preferentially move to warm water. Nothing is pushing it north except the models...

Don't quit your day job...

 

My altitude seems sufficient, even though a bayou is only a mile away. I'm quite a bit uphill in only a mile.
An evacuation center will accomplish what?
When most or all of the county is without electricity, they won't have air conditioning either. Only medical places have their own generators, not schools used for emergency shelters. I couldn't even be sure of electricity if I ran to the east coast.

I don't expect my house to leave. It's concrete block. The wind speeds are close to my building limits for the roof.
I'm hoping for some luck!
If all else fails, I can go to the family farm in Kentucky. I hear the local I.Q. average has increased a lot in the last 50 years.
It's just that I don't like small town life. I'm a city boy. Trying to live in a county with only one automatic traffic signal or a town with only one pizza shop is my idea of a nightmare.

Kentucky has its own kind of beauty, but it's not my style.

I think I'll go shove all my scrap metal into the shed and consider re-reading all 7 Harry Potter books.

You could try installing Linux again. I hear it withstands hurricane force winds better than windows.

 

You could try installing Linux again. I hear it withstands hurricane force winds better than windows.

I have Linux on a hard drive. It's only a cable swap away.