Damn #12......you are sticking out there aren't you? Maybe inland after the shutters?

 

In fact, the European model had Tampa in the bull's eye days ago.

With the number of tracks they showed and the various models ... one of them had to be correct.

 

With the number of tracks they showed and the various models ... one of them had to be correct.

That's the problem with Florida -- 90 miles makes the difference between east and west.

The exact timing of the "turn-to-the-north" has always been difficult to predict.

 

Looks like she's making the turn.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/11L_floater.html

 

Live radar.

 

First major squall is just now coming through. Tornado warnings issued.

 

Corner of Duval and Front Street. Key West Florida.

 

Looks like she's making the turn.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/11L_floater.html

That's what Clint Bowyer said after he crashed at the Brickyard 400 this year, "looks like she started to turn" then he said "f*** Danica, f*** her".

In reality, Danica Patrick was the only one NOT to drift or turn. It was an optical illusion when the two cars next to her drifted and lost traction, her teammate, Clint Bowyer (driving right behind her), took evasive action and slammed into the wall.

Moral of the story, sometimes it only looks like she is turning.

 

Chicken Evacuations:

 

Chicken Evacuations:

I thought that's how you moved fish.

 

It's very dark in here when all the windows are covered with plywood.
Car is loaded. I can squirt out of here at any moment.
Winds don't seem to be a problem at 77 to 100 MPH. I'm higher than the expected floods. The only concern left is lack of electricity and lack of air conditioning. That can be very uncomfortable, but my car has air conditioning if I get desperate. If it gets that bad, I will put the car in gear and head east.

 

It's very dark in here when all the windows are covered with plywood.
Car is loaded. I can squirt out of here at any moment.
Winds don't seem to be a problem at 77 to 100 MPH. I'm higher than the expected floods. The only concern left is lack of electricity and lack of air conditioning. That can be very uncomfortable, but my car has air conditioning if I get desperate. If it gets that bad, I will put the car in gear and head east.

Good luck to you, man. Hope this doesn't get as bad as I think it can.

 

Hope this doesn't get as bad as I think it can.

Right now I'm hiding the car (from the expected wind direction) behind a concrete building.
This is the first car I ever had with 4 wheel drive. It might be handy this week.

 

Live radar.

To my eye, there's not really all that much "turn to the north" yet. I know that's what all the models predict, but what if it gets well west first into the gulf - will it really need to hug the western shoreline?

 

Right now I'm hiding the car (from the expected wind direction) behind a concrete building.
This is the first car I ever had with 4 wheel drive. It might be handy this week.

I hope you got the propeller option.

 

Fort,Lauderdale,still has power,maybe near miss.

 

Joey,you just got a Tornado warning.

 

Joey,you just got a Tornado warning.

Yup. Spotted in Oakland Park.

 

To my eye, there's not really all that much "turn to the north" yet. I know that's what all the models predict, but what if it gets well west first into the gulf - will it really need to hug the western shoreline?

No, it will preferentially move to warm water. Nothing is pushing it north except the models that are carryover from when the east cost of FL was causing it to push north as it tried to stay over warm water.

Now, the Hurricane has a free path to all the warm water to Mobile Alabama. There is no reason for it to hug the left coast of Florida. SE Florida coast might get grazed but the Western Florida panhandle to New Orleans.

 

Here's hoping that this thread ends up being much ado about nothing... hang in there 12 and Joey...