How's the weather?

nsaspook

Joined Aug 27, 2009
16,330
Supposedly, it'll get wrapped up in dry air and wind shear prior to landfall, so a Cat 5 on land is unlikely. Maybe a 2 or 3, which is nothing to sneeze at, but we've survived worse.
That's the forecast and is likely, that massive amount of CAT 5 energy will still be in the rain bands and wider wind area.

Remember Andrew and be safe.

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SamR

Joined Mar 19, 2019
5,491
The only weather source that I trust is the one that most others somehow come up with their wild claims based on its data. That is NOAA and in particular their hurricane center. National Hurricane Center (noaa.gov) All else, to me, is simply bravado and hysterical drama to increase viewership and hence advertising income. In other words, complete wild and unsubstantiated BS! Will Uncle Milty reach Cat 5, too early to tell. Will it be more than 100mph winds, YES! Should you be making plans if you are in the wide possible path, Absolutely!


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nsaspook

Joined Aug 27, 2009
16,330
I was in Miami for Andrew. We survived.
I've ridden out super typhoons at sea and on land in the tropics. We survived that hell. ;) IMO that's not the criteria for an evacuation decision.

I worked at Homestead AFB in the 70's (Navy Det) , when Andrew hit the people survived but the base didn't and what's there now needed to be rebuilt from scratch.

Be safe.
 
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nsaspook

Joined Aug 27, 2009
16,330
When an evacuation "order" is given, must it be complied with? Or is staying in your place at your own risk optional?
In Oregon, "it means you are totally on your own'. There will be no response to emergency calls, screams, rants or cries for mercy.

No one is coming until after the worst is over, period.

"Challenging Mother Nature is a bad idea"
 

joeyd999

Joined Jun 6, 2011
6,309
You are very courageous. How many chances have you got before you are proven wrong?
If I lived in the warning cone on the water, I would evacuate a few miles inland. That is it.

Water here is the danger. Not wind, mudslides, or cresting rivers.

I live 10 miles inland on the southeast coast. My house is concrete block construction, and my roof is to all the modern codes that should survive a high cat 4. If a cat 5 were approaching, I'd sleep in my office: heavy CBS with a 3 foot parapet to protect the roof, and a 2nd floor to escape rising water (which would be remarkable considering the geography).

There are many here who immediately get on the expressway and try to drive out of state at the first sign of a stiff breeze. This causes problems: a few years ago a bunch of motorists got to experience the passing eye while stuck in a traffic jam on I-75.

Like everything else in life, you must use your mind and not blindly do what the "authorities" tell you.

When an evacuation "order" is given, must it be complied with? Or is staying in your place at your own risk optional?
This is still a free country. The government will not come and remove you from you home. But they won't rush in to help you, either. Caveat emptor.

BTW, if I lived in a trailer park, I'd evacuate the state before every summer thunderstorm.
 

SamR

Joined Mar 19, 2019
5,491
Well according to the guy on his roof after the drowned, God told him he sent him 2 boats and a helicopter. So, I guess it's 3 strikes and yer dead!

They want you to think Mandatory here, but there is no enforcement of it. Hugo here was worse on the evacuation than the hurricane. Bumper to bumper, stop and go. Move 25', stop, get back out and party some more. See the vehicles ahead start to move and jump back in your vehicle. Repeat ad nauseum... Lot's of girls got left behind when they ran for the bushes to pee. That was one huge party of travelling drunks! After that they modified I-16 so that both lanes would go west in an evacuation. And when it was needed for the next evac they never opened the east bound lane for west bound evac... As Pres. Reagan once quoted. The worst words you can hear are "We are from the government and we are here to help you!"
 

SamR

Joined Mar 19, 2019
5,491
When you think about it, my grandparents NEVER evacuated... One of their homes was left hanging over the river bluff after a hurricane due to erosion and they had to move the house back onto the bluff. But there was nowhere to evac to back then... Some did evac from the islands onto the mainland but that's about it. Some of the shrimp trawlers take their boats upriver into freshwater so they can be sunk if need be and refloated after it gets clear again.
 
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